Showing posts with label private placement. Show all posts
Showing posts with label private placement. Show all posts

Friday, February 20, 2009

California Bond Picture Not Too Bright, Say Bond Managers

A couple of bigtime bond investors are shrugging off the California budget deal, reflecting sentiments that do not appear to augur well for the state stem cell agency's plan to sell state bonds privately to solve a cash crunch.

Reporter Martin Braun, writing for Bloomberg News, quoted two bond fund managers as saying that the fundamental state budget problems still exist in California.

Ken Naehu, who oversees $2 billion in municipal bonds at Bel Air Investment Advisors in Los Angeles, was quoted as saying,
“There won’t be a tremendous change in perception purely because the budget has passed. The municipal market is dominated by retail investors now and those investors have been scared, have been spooked."
Paul Brennan, who oversees $12 billion in muni bonds at Nuveen Asset Management in Chicago, including $1 billion in California bonds, was quoted as saying,
"Some of the budget is being balanced from either additional debt or this potential stimulus aid from Washington, that’s a one-time shot and that doesn’t solve the structural deficit."
Currently California has the worst bond rating of any state in the nation. That means that it will have to pay higher interest rates to attract investors when it resumes selling bonds. The state has not sold any bonds since last June.

The Bloomberg article also reported that state Treasurer Bill Lockyer said that the state is considering offering bonds within six weeks.

Bonds are virtually the only source of cash for the state stem cell agency.

Thursday, February 19, 2009

The 'House of Cards' and a $400 Million Fund-Raising Drive

Borrowing $400 million for stem cell research is no small task, but one that CIRM has chosen for itself.

John M. Simpson
, stem cell project director of Consumer Watchdog of Santa Monica, Ca., today raised questions about the nature of the effort, given the nation's shaky economy and the "house of cards" that is the budget deal approved today in Sacramento.

Here is what Simpson said in an email:
"It strikes me that despite the budget deal, it still may be a long time before the state can get into the bond market.

"Key parts of the deal have to go before the voters in a special election in May. I don't see how you can sell bonds until the outcome of the election is known.

"And, it seems to me, the chances are excellent that the voters just might turn the proposal down throwing everything back to square one.

"I don't know what it does to private placement, but it seems to me that the just-passed budget may be a house of cards that collapses.

"I like to see myself is an optimist -- maybe I'm influenced by how much my own assets have tanked -- but I think it will be an uphill struggle to place $200 million before September when CIRM's cash runs out."

Who is on the Hook for $400 Million in Stem Cell Science?

An anonymous reader has posted a question on the "California budget mess" item, asking about who will pay back the $400 million in bonds that CIRM is seeking to sell privately to support its operations. We suspect some other readers may have the same question, so we are responding here.

But first, let's rephrase the question in more straight forward language: Who is going to pay the $400 million that the state stem cell agency is seeking to borrow privately?

The answer is the state of California and its taxpayers. The bonds are, in fact, loans to the state and become the "general obligation" of the state. They are no different than general obligation bonds that are sold by the state to execute other projects. The bonds do not rely on CIRM to generate revenue to pay them off. The state cannot declare bankruptcy, according to a briefing for CIRM directors last month. Thus investors would seem assured of earning a return at some point. Income from the bonds is also exempt from California taxes but not federal taxes, making them favored investments for California-connected persons and enterprises.

The state has "placed" only $250 million of the $3 billion in bonds authorized to be sold on behalf of CIRM. That initial round of borrowing was the first time ever that general obligation bonds have been used to "finance the development of intellectual capital," according to the state treasurer's office. Generally bonds are used to build roads, hospitals, housing and other "hard" assets.

Here is a rundown from the state treasurer's office on California bonds that should answer nearly all questions about the nature of the devices.

California Passes Budget, Issuance of Stem Cell Bonds Still Distant

In the predawn hours today in Sacramento, California lawmakers passed a budget aimed at dealing with a $42 billion state deficit, but the spigot that feeds CIRM remains firmly closed.

Nonetheless, the action does assist with CIRM's own plans to bootstrap itself out of its cash crunch.

The state legislature has sent the spending proposal to the governor, who is expected to sign it in the next few days. The action sets the stage for possible issuance of state bonds, the funding mechanism for the California stem cell agency, which is facing a major financial shortfall.

State Treasurer Bill Lockyer is evaluating the new state budget to determine whether it enables the state to return to the bond market and under what conditions. However, even if bonds are sold in the next month or so, bonds for CIRM are not at the top of the $53 billion list.

In response to a query from the California Stem Cell Report, Tom Dresslar, a spokesman for Lockyer, said,
"We need to analyze the product(the budget) and get a firm handle on cash flow before we can say anything about how the budget will affect our ability to return to the bond market."
However, passage of the budget should help with the CIRM plan to sell privately $400 million in state bonds to provide funding for CIRM. The legislative action removes significant uncertainty and should help counter possible objections from potential buyers.

The treasurer's office has also assisted indirectly by leading the way on the private placement of state bonds, which has never been done in state history. Lockyer's office has already cut a deal with the San Francisco Bay Area Toll Authority to buy $200 million in state bonds. That means CIRM will not be in the unenviable position of being the first out of the trenches with a private sale and can point instead to a precedent.

Here are links to some budget stories: Wall Street Journal, Sacramento Bee, Los Angeles Times, San Francisco Chronicle and New York Times.

Tuesday, February 17, 2009

CIRM Touts Its Financial Outlook

CIRM has officially but quietly announced that it hopes to raise $400 million through 2010 by selling California state bonds privately, a task never before achieved in state history.

The information on the private placement goal was posted Friday on the CIRM web site with virtually no notice or fanfare. The CIRM home page, which often carries far more trivial matters, makes no reference to the item about the state of CIRM's troubled finances. The three-paragraph posting was placed near the top of the CIRM web page page entitled "Funding Opportunities" and "Current Requests for Applications."

As far as we can tell, the item is the only significant reference on the CIRM web site to the hours and hours spent by worried directors last month discussing the agency's cash woes, other than the transcript of the meeting itself.

While the agency is now about seven months away from running out of cash, the Friday item has a positive headline, "CIRM's Financial Commitments Are Secure." The language is tailored to reassure grant applicants, especially those applying for the $210 million disease team RFA that was also posted on Friday.

The financial-status posting also refers to a "CIRM program with the state treasurer" for private placement of bonds. If the program is actually in place, it is a significant advance on the situation discussed by directors just three weeks ago. Many questions were raised at the time by directors about the plan. CIRM Chairman Robert Klein, who devised the private placement effort, promised to report back to the board at its meeting March 12.

CIRM seems determined not to call public attention to its financial problems, given its handling of the matter as long ago as its December board meeting. The January meeting included a lengthy briefing on the subject, but the public had no advance notice from CIRM of the sweeping scope of the problem. Even directors seemed taken aback.

A number of the directors were concerned about the public relations message that would be delivered as a result of the briefing and the ensuing discussion. There was a decided effort at the time to put a positive spin on the news. However, while directors approved $58 million in grants, they balked at funding until they knew more about the agency's finances. Efforts were also made to reassure current recipients of CIRM grants that money would still be forthcoming.

The public relations and positioning tactics could be construed as Pollyannish. But the agency must act in a way to retain the faith of the stem cell community that it will continue to operate unimpeded by what it hopes are transitory issues. CIRM needs a positive outlook to attract the best proposals for its disease round. It also must sell a story of past accomplishment and a rosy future to potential buyers of its bonds. No one is going to invest in a sinking ship.

At the same, CIRM directors and its executives should not be misled about the realities. Waiting too long to act on other measures to deal with the cash crunch will only compound the problem.

(A side note: In an operation independent of CIRM, the state of California is expected to announce later this week that it will make its first private placement of general obligation bonds, which could help smooth the way for CIRM sales with nervous investors. If the state does, in fact, make the private sale, CIRM, which has recorded a number of firsts in its brief life, will not have the opportunity to record another.)

Here is the full text of CIRM's "secure finances" posting:
"California voters approved the sale of  $3 billion in bonds to fund the work of the California Institute for Regenerative Medicine. The State finance committee created to oversee those bonds has authorized the issuance of the full amount.  A total of $2.5 billion in authority remains in funding availability. Proceeds from sale of the bonds are constitutionally protected and can only be used to fund CIRM programs and operations.

"CIRM currently has significant cash reserves of $160 million, which can fund all existing commitments through at least September. The agency’s plans have always called for raising new capital on a cash-flow, as-needed basis. We expect the traditional bond market will open soon with resolution of California’s budget situation.  To supplement this public bond market, CIRM is working with the State treasurer’s office on a CIRM private placement of $200 million in general obligation bonds this year and $200 million again next year.  The CIRM program with the State Treasurer is designed to produce sufficient funding in 2009 and again in 2010 to maintain the pace of funding under CIRM’s proposed grant schedule.

"The Agency intends to continue the planning and review needed to maintain its mission on schedule and expects that additional bond funds will become available by the time they are needed."

Monday, February 16, 2009

NY Times Examines the California Budget Mess that Ensnared CIRM

California's $42 billion fiscal fiasco, which is threatening its $3 billion stem cell research effort, today drew some major and dubious media attention.

In a piece by Jennifer Steinhauer, The New York Times reported on the shameful shenanigans in Sacramento. Ballooning deficits, intransigent lawmakers and a governor who is "free of allies or influence" were just part of her first paragraph. The budget issues are so great that CIRM's relatively picayune problems did not merit even a word, although they have raised a loud alarm in state stem cell circles.

California faces a $42 billion budget shortfall. A partial solution is now before lawmakers in Sacramento, but a handful of Republicans, who are more interested in ideology than solving problems, are blocking passage.

Steinhauer wrote that the state, in a nearly unheard of move, has lost access to much of the credit markets and that its bonds are now rated the lowest in the nation. That is the reason that the California stem cell agency is now facing a hefty financial shortfall. The agency relies on bond funding, and the state has not sold any since last June.

Steinhauer continued,
"'No other state is in the kind of crisis that California is in,' said Iris J. Lav, the deputy director of the Center on Budget and Policy Priorities, a liberal research group in Washington. The roots of California’s inability to address its budget woes are statutory and political. The state, unlike most others, requires a two-thirds majority vote in the legislature to pass budgets and tax increases. And its process for creating voter initiatives hamstrings the budget process by directing money for some programs while depriving others of cash."
It was a voter initiative that created the California stem cell agency and isolated it from control by the governor or the state legislature. Instead the ballot measure, Prop. 71, gave CIRM direct funding from state bonds. The measure initially protected CIRM but now the agency has become part of the financial collateral damage in California's budget battles.

Robert Klein, chairman of the stem cell agency, has proposed an effort to sell bonds privately to ease CIRM through its hard times. The state has never before sold bonds privately, but is reportedly ready to do that soon – but not for CIRM. The stem cell agency will have to wait in line while more pressing needs are addressed. Meantime, Klein is trying to cobble together a plan for CIRM to peddle the bonds directly to foundations in the hopes of meeting two of the foundations' needs – a solid return on their investment (probably 5 to 6 pecent) and funding worthwhile research. He is expected to report on that effort at CIRM board meeting on March 12.

Klein, who is an attorney and real estate investment banker, led the drafting effort on Prop. 71. The idea was to make the agency immune from "political" tinkering. In the process, however, he wrote into the measure the seeds of a number of problems that have surfaced since its passage in 2004. The reliance on bond funding is just one, and it now puts the agency, once fiscally well-endowed, near the end of the line for cash as California works its way out of its budget mess. And because the whole arrangement is locked into the state Constitution and state law and virtually impossible to change, CIRM's tenuous situation will continue for some time regardless of what makes good sense either scientifically or in terms of sound policy.

Concerning our earlier comment about the shenanigans in Sacramento, many folks working up there deserve some responsibility for the budget crisis. But fundamentally it is failure of leadership – particularly that of Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger, who appears to have lost much of the clout he once had and is also unwilling to devote his remaining political and financial resources to "persuading" GOP lawmakers to vote for a budget. (He would do well to study the exercise of power by Lyndon Baines Johnson.) The state GOP legislative leadership seems to be locked into some fantasy unconnected to the realities of the California economy. Democrats also have not conducted themselves well along with the host of special pleaders lobbying in Sacramento, ranging from teachers and business interests to environmentalists and prison guards.

Tuesday, February 03, 2009

Simpson On The CIRM Private Placement Plan

Consumer Watchdog's John M. Simpson, who sat in on the board meetings last week of the California stem cell agency, today offered his take on CIRM's financial troubles.

Simpson, stem cell project director for the Santa Monica, Ca., organization, noted that the discussions touched on the sale of the bond anticipation notes two years ago, when CIRM also faced fiscal difficulties. Those sales raised $44 million.

Simpson wrote,
"However, former ICOC Vice Chairman Ed Penhoet , who played a key role in selling many of the BANS, notes that most of the purchasers acted for philanthropic reasons and were prepared to lose the money if the courts ruled against CIRM.

"Those BANs were sold when the economy was booming, riding high on the housing bubble.  Today those sorts of investors are feeling the pinch like all the rest of us -- perhaps in some cases even more so.  It is by no means clear that a significant amount can be raised for CIRM by selling bonds privately."

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