Monday, November 09, 2020

Vote Margin Tightens on California Stem Cell Measure

California Secretary of State graphic

The margin of approval for California's $5.5 billion stem cell ballot measure has narrowed very slightly with the latest figures showing 51 percent of voters in favor, down from 51.1 percent last week. 

The "semi-official" vote count at 9:08 a.m today from the Secretary of State's office tallied 7,085,881 (51.0 percent) in favor of Proposition 14 and 6,802,604 against (49 percent). State election officials, however, did not have a count for the number of all outstanding ballots, as of last night.

The total number of ballots reported cast at this point is about 13.9 million. About 22 million persons are registered to vote. A significant percentage of those are not expected to have voted at all. Many vote only on races important to them, such as the presidential contest. Still others simply don't work their way through the ballot to the propositions. 

Some readers may ask: Is it a possibility that Proposition 14 could ultimately lose in the official, certified count that is not due until December? The answer is the usual one for questions of possibilities: Anything is a possibility. 

However, at this stage in the count, it is more likely than not that the remaining outstanding votes will break in the pattern already established, with Proposition 14 being approved.  But, as noted, anything is possible.

Regarding the map below, it is a static version of the one on the Secretary of State's site. Red indicates counties that did not support Proposition 14. If you click on this sentence, the link will take you to an interactive version that opens up each county.  

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