California's Five-Buck Stem Cell Mystery and Prop. 14 Campaign Hype

The campaign to save California's stem cell agency with a $5.5 billion cash infusion is peddling a variety of claims that stretch the facts or that the campaign is unwilling to support publicly.  

Leading the pack is the assertion that the multibillion-dollar proposition will cost no more than a bottle of aspirin per person, per year. Unspecified by the campaign, however, is the number of persons and the number of years. The five-buck claim is clearly an attempt to minimize the cost of the proposal, which actually totals an estimated $7.8 billion, according to the state's legislative analyst. 

Robert Klein, leader of the Proposition 14 campaign, made the five-buck claim back in July. It has also appeared on the campaign web site. And Klein brought up the figure again this month in a radio broadcast.

"Proposition 14 will cost the state an average of less than $5 per person, per year – about the cost of a bottle of aspirin" is the way Klein put it last summer.

The California Stem Cell Report has asked the campaign several times to explain how it arrived at that figure. The first request was made 44 days ago (Sept. 1). The campaign has not responded. 

On Oct. 5, Klein brought up another number during a KQED broadcast. He said $4.1 billion was put into CIRM research in 2019 via matching funds. The state stem cell agency declined to verify that figure. A query to the campaign has not been answered. 

The campaign additionally uses a figure of 90 to describe the number of clinical trials in which the stem cell agency is involved. The agency, which is known officially as the California Institute for Regenerative Medicine (CIRM), says that it is  involved in 64.  That is a more than respectable number, more than Klein would have predicted back in 2005 when he was the first chairman of CIRM.

The campaign's justification for using the larger figure seems to be that somehow, someway, that some piece of CIRM-funded research, however tiny, has played a role in some sort of trial. By that criteria, John J. Loud could be also credited with contributing to a CIRM-backed clinical trial. He invented the ballpoint pen in 1888.  

Over the past several years, the agency, during public meetings, has been careful to limit its focus on clinical trials to those that involve meaningful financial participation, for which it deserves ample credit. (It should be noted that the number has grown as CIRM has helped to fund more trials.) 

Pushing the envelope is normal practice for ballot campaigns. It may be unrealistic to expect the stem cell campaign to behave any differently.  Winning is everything in an election campaign. As I have remarked in the past, a ballot campaign is like a war with a deadline. The losers are like so much charnel on the electoral battlefield.

That said, Proposition 14 involves the credibility of science, a matter much in the news nowadays. And backers of the stem cell initiative continue to suffer from the ill effects of the hype of the 2004 campaign, which was also led by Klein. 

The excessive and unrealized voter expectations raised by 2004 campaign are popping up this year in news stories and editorials about Proposition 14 in a way that does not improve its chances of approval, at least for some people. Of course, constant repetition of misleading or bogus information can have an impact on some voters as the country has seen on a national level. 

Art Caplan, a nationally prominent bioethicist, said in 2014, 

“Stem cell research seems, again and again, to go off the rails when it comes to the ethics of research.”

Caplan was speaking mainly about hyped claims involving stem cell research that could not be replicated. The general concern, however, remains alive.

In 2016, five researchers highlighted ongoing issues involving stem cell hype in a piece in the journal Science, They wrote,

"This (trend) raises the risk of harmful consequences, including misleading the public, creating unrealistic expectations, misinforming policy debates, devaluing methodical approaches to research, and driving premature or unwarranted clinical use. This is particularly important in light of mounting concern about the marketing of unproven stem cell treatments. This trend may have led to a gap between public expectations and the actual state of stem cell science and clinical development."

More recently in California, Hank Greely, director of Stanford's  Center for Law and the Biosciences, this week was quoted in an article about Proposition 14.  He said, 

“Politics has a corrupting influence on everything — it pushes toward exaggeration." 

As for what that means for voters evaluating Proposition 14 and the claims of its backers and opponents, the ancient admonition of caveat emptor would seem to be the order of the day -- buyer beware.  That is a deeply unfortunate position for those who believe that the nation should trust science.  

(Editor's note: This is an updated and lightly edited version of an earlier version of this item.) 

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​Read all about California's stem cell agency, including Proposition 14,  in David Jensen's new book. Buy it on Amazon:  California's Great Stem Cell Experiment: Inside a $3 Billion Search for Stem Cell Cures. Click here for more information on the author.

Tangling Over $5.5 Billion Stem Cell Measure: CIRM Board Member vs. its Former Chairman

Robert Klein is on the left, Jeff Sheehy on right at CIRM
directors meeting. Art Torres, vice chair of the board is in
the middle. CSCR photo

The two men once worked together over the last 16 years to spend $3 billion in state funds on stem cell research in California. This week, however, they were very publicly on opposite sides of a ballot initiative to spend $5.5 billion more. 

The initiative is Proposition 14, which would require the state to borrow the additional billions. The measure would also substantially expand the scope of the state stem cell agency, known formally as the California Institute for Regenerative Medicine (CIRM).  

Both men, Robert Klein and Jeff Sheehy, served on the CIRM board, regularly approving hundreds of millions of dollars in research awards annually. Klein is a Palo Alto real estate developer and was the first chairman of the agency. He directed the writing of Proposition 14 and now heads the campaign.  He left his post as chairman in 2011.

Sheehy continues to serve on the CIRM board and has since 2004. He is a patient advocate member of the board, its former Science Subcommittee chair and a nationally recognized HIV/AIDs advocate. Sheehy was the lone dissenting vote when the CIRM board endorsed Proposition 14 in June, although he says the agency has done "tremendous" work.

They came together "remotely" when they participated Oct. 5 in a public radio show, KQED's Forum with Michael Krasny, that is heard throughout California on public radio stations. 

Klein and Sheehy bristled at times during the 38-minute broadcast. Klein said figures presented by Sheehy were "completely false." Sheehy said Klein's financing mechanism in Proposition 14 was "very dodgy" and "ridiculous." 

In the initial years of financing, Sheehy said, "It's like getting a credit card and then getting another credit card to carry the interest (from the first credit card)."

Longstanding issues were also raised concerning conflicts of interest on the CIRM board and other deficiencies identified in an evaluation of CIRM by the prestigious Institute of Medicine (IOM). The 2012 study was commissioned by CIRM itself at a cost of $700,000. Both Klein and Sheehy supported funding the study as a way to secure what they thought would be a gold standard endorsement of the agency. 

Klein's initiative does little to deal with the issues raised by the study, which said "inherent conflicts of interest" exist on the board. The report also recommended that the 29-member board be overhauled completely and not expanded.  Proposition 14 would increase the board size to 35, however, increasing conflicts of interest. The measure also does not address the management and governance problems cited by the study.

An analysis last month by the California Stem Cell Report showed that 79 percent of the awards approved by the CIRM board went to institutions that had links to board members even though the "institutional" members are not permitted to vote on awards to their institutions. Conflicts of interest have been so pervasive at times that only six or seven members were allowed to vote on awards. 

Sheehy and Klein also talked briefly about state spending priorities in the Covid year and the state's ongoing affordable housing, education and homeless problems. Overall, the KQED program provided only a tiny peek at the issues involved in Proposition 14. 

Klein's position can be fully explored on his campaign's web site. Over the last 12 months, Sheehy has aired his position at CIRM board meetings and in submissions to the California Stem Cell Report. Here is what Sheehy wrote regarding his no vote on endorsement of the ballot measure.

A detailed look at the findings of the IOM report and the current status of CIRM's response is contained in the new book "California's Great Stem Cell Experiment: An Inside Look at a $3 Billion Search for Cures."  The book was written by the publisher of this blog and grew out of more than 15 years of close observation of the stem cell agency. 

Saving CIRM: $5.5 Billion Ballot Campaign, Rhetoric and Winning

The campaign to save California's financially strapped stem cell research agency said this week that voter approval of a $5.5 billion rescue measure "has never been more important to the future of California’s health care, for the patients and their families, than it is now."

The pitch came in an opinion piece carried on the Capitol Weekly online news service. The article appears to be the first "op-ed" piece that the campaign has placed since qualifying the ballot initiative, Proposition 14. 

The article carried the byline of Robert Klein, chairman of the campaign effort, Californians for Stem Cell Research. Klein is the Palo Alto real estate developer who led the 2004 ballot campaign and directed the writing of the original initiative as well as the current one. He also was the first chairman of the agency, known officially as the California Institute for Regenerative Medicine (CIRM). 

Klein's article echoed rhetoric from the campaign web site, in some cases using identical phrasing, which is to be expected.  He wrote,

"CIRM funding has advanced research and therapy development for more than 75 different diseases and conditions, more than 90 clinical trials, more than 1,000 medical projects at 70 institutions across California and nearly 3,000 published medical discoveries. This investment has already saved and improved lives, including a high school student who was paralyzed in a diving accident and was able to regain function in his upper body and go on to college, a mother who went blind from a genetic disease has had some of her eyesight restored, two FDA-approved cancer treatments are already saving lives, and many more."

Klein's campaign piece pushed the envelope in some cases. One example is the mention of "more than 90 clinical trials." The agency itself only claims 64. The key to Klein's figure of 90 is the phrasing "CIRM funding has advanced ... more than 90 clinical trials." That is a different criteria than used by the agency. Klein is basing his figure on any kind of research connected in any way to any kind of trial. 

Klein's number of 90 has also climbed from 80 just 16 days ago.  

Additionally, Klein's claims in his article for the agency's economic benefits are based on studies that the agency itself has paid for as opposed to independent, third party analyses. The most recent example came last fall; the study cost CIRM $206,000. 

The 2004 campaign that established the agency was widely criticized for its hype. Most ballot campaigns can be criticized on the same grounds. However, none have dealt with science in the way that Proposition 14 does. But Klein's job is to win approval of the proposal. Without a victory in the fall, CIRM will begin to close its doors. 

California voters can expect to see more rhetoric like Klein's over the next three months or so, intensifying significantly in October. The same sort of rhetoric is  already coming from the opposition and can be more extreme. As the ChurchMilitant web site said on June 29, 

"California state officials have confirmed a ballot initiative that, if approved, would give a state biomedical agency $5.5 billion to kill human embryos in order to extract their stem cells."

All this -- Klein's envelope-pushing and opponents' emotional, religious screeds -- is part of the way ballot campaigns work in California. Cautious, deliberative discussions cannot be expected to carry the day for the partisans on both sides. It is war with a deadline. 

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​Read all about California's stem cell agency, including Proposition 14,  in David Jensen's new book. Buy it on Amazon:  California's Great Stem Cell Experiment: Inside a $3 Billion Search for Stem Cell Cures. Click here for more information on the author.

California, Stem Cells and the Future of Human Suffering

Has California's $3 billion stem cell research agency "change(d) the future of medicine and human suffering?" 

It's a question and contention indirectly raised very briefly in a news article earlier this week published in the Long Beach Business Journal. 

While the Long Beach weekly does not have the reach of such other Southern California outlets as the Los Angeles Times, the question may well be at the heart of campaign to convince voters to approve an additional $5.5 billion for the California Institute for Regenerative Medicine (CIRM), as the agency is formally  known.  

Robert Klein

CIRM, created in 2004 by voters, is down to its last $27 million. It will begin to  shut down next fall if voters fail to approve the $5.5 billion measure in November. The proposed initiative will labor under a burden created by the ballot initiative campaign 15 years ago that raised expectations that stem cell cures were just around the corner. CIRM, however, has yet to finance a stem cell therapy that is approved by the federal government for widespread use. 

The Long Beach article by Alena Maschke provided a brief overview of the agency and its programs. Right at the top was a quote from Robert Klein, the Palo Alto real estate developer who is leading this year's ballot initiative campaign. He also led the effort in 2004 and was the first chairman of the agency.

Klein was also quoted as saying,

“The scientists and patient advocates in California have proven through the California stem cell initiative funding that they can change the future of medicine and human suffering. California funding has filled the gap of the federal government’s failure to fund this revolution in medicine.”

Mascke's article said Klein's efforts for stem cell research were initially triggered years ago by his concern for his son, Jordan, who had Type 1 diabetes.  The piece said, 

"In 2016, 26-year-old Jordan Klein died of complications related to the disease, two years after scientists first made significant progress on finding a treatment developed with the help of human embryonic stem cells. 

"Klein blames the federal government’s resistance to embracing stem cell research for the lack of adequate treatment options that lead to his son’s death. 'My youngest son died. If they hadn’t held it up in D.C., he would be alive,' he said. 'How many children, how many adults are going to die before they create enough stability to advance therapies that mitigate or cure these chronic diseases?'"

The Long Beach paper also tapped Aaron Levine, an associate professor at the

Aaron Levine, Georgia Tech photo

School of Public Policy at Georgia Tech. Levine was a member of the blue ribbon group that conducted a $700,000 study of the agency's work, an effort that was paid for by CIRM. 

"'CIRM stepped in to fill a gap when the National Institutes of Health was restricting its funding in this space,' Levine said. 'The research that CIRM has supported, as well as the training programs, has had quite a big impact on the field.'"

The article continued, 

"Levine also noted that the program has yet to resolve one crucial question: Who will pay for patients’ treatment with costly stem cell therapies once they’re ready to hit the market? Per-patient costs for stem cell therapies can easily reach several hundred thousand dollars and as research advances, more patients are expected to qualify.

 "'Suddenly, that’s just such a substantial sum of money that it becomes a fundamental challenge to how we pay for healthcare, how we pay for medicine in the United States,' Levine said. Subsidies for California residents, whose taxes helped pay for the research necessary to bring these cures and therapies to market, would be one option, Levine noted.

"Despite these concerns, Levine said he supports the measure to extend the program. 'Even though this is not the perfect measure, I think there’s a lot of value in CIRM and it makes sense to continue it,' he said. In the end, it will be up to California voters to decide. 

"'It largely will rise and fall on whether there’s a motivated campaign for and against it and what people who’ve never really thought about stem cell research as a state ballot issue are going to think about this particular initiative when it comes in the fall,' Levine said."

As for whether CIRM has changed the future of medicine and human suffering, some might argue that it alone has not, that other stem cell researchers around the world have been as instrumental. Others would argue that if revolutionary change has occurred, CIRM has fulfilled its mission and the people of California no longer need to fund it. 

As Levine points out, the voters of California will make the judgment in November. Their decision will come during an election that will focus intensely on presidential politics and much, much less so on the performance of the stem cell agency.  

Robust Defense of $5.5 Billion California Stem Cell Measure; State Hearing Scheduled for Tomorrow Morning

The man behind the $5.5 billion California stem cell initiative this afternoon vigorously defended the measure and released details of fresh changes in the proposal, which will be scrutinized tomorrow morning by the directors of the financially strapped state stem cell agency.

Robert Klein file photo by California Stem Cell Report

Despite the fact that agency faces its fiscal demise next year, the initiative is the only proposal around to continue the agency's funding. It ran afoul last week of questions from some of the agency's directors. One of those directors wrote a 3,300-word critique of the proposal by Robert Klein, the first chairman of the agency and who directed the writing of the 2004 ballot initiative that created the agency. A special meeting was called for tomorrow morning.

In addition to providing $5.5 billion in state bonds, Klein's proposal would significantly expand the reach and change the governance of what is formally known as the California Institute for Regenerative Medicine(CIRM). The measure would require the agency to launch a major effort to make "affordable" what are extremely expensive stem cell and genetic treatments. The proposal would also enlarge its governing board from 29 to 35. The board has been criticized sharply for the size of its board.

Klein said in an emailed statement that the changes he made in the wake of CIRM directors' concerns basically follow the outlines of what he released yesterday. He stoutly defended the agency's current work and his plans to expand its scope.

He said in an eight-page statement to the California Stem Cell Report.

"Patients and their families should not have to suffer more delays because of ill-conceived agendas that obviously do not fit into the new initiative, with a scope that has already been court validated."

Klein added,

"The federal government remains a threat to scientists and physicians investigating the best cell sources for developing therapies for patients. Just within the last nine months there have been new restrictions imposed by the federal government based upon ideological grounds."

Klein, a Palo Alto, Ca., real estate developer, is under a state deadline of 5 p.m. on Monday to make any changes. As sponsor of the 2020 initiative, he is the only person legally entitled to make changes. The measure then will go through a lengthy state elections process. More than 600,000 registered voters will have to sign petitions for the measure if it is to make it onto the November 2020 ballot.

Klein noted that the state deadline has passed for officially making public comments. But he said suggestions and comments can be sent to him through Saturday Nov. 16 at this address: castemcell2020@gmail.com.  Any such comments are not a public record. If a reader would like to share his/her comments with the public, please send a copy of them to the California Stem Cell Report at djensen@californiastemcellreport. We will carry them verbatim.

The public can listen in and participate in tomorrow's meeting via the Internet or at telephonic locations throughout California. An updated list of those locations is here. Information on Internet access is on the meeting agenda.

Below is the text of the statement Klein sent this afternoon to the California Stem Cell Report. In it, he says the full text of the current version of the actual initiative is available on the Americans for Cures web site, a stem cell patient advocacy group that he founded and chairs.

   2020 Update – the California Stem Cell Research, Treatments, And Cures Initiative of 2020 11.14.19 by Anonymous 2ZGCBei on Scribd

Changes Afoot in $5.5 billion California Stem Cell Initiative: Sponsor of the Measure Reacts to Suggestions and Questions

The proposed $5.5 billion California stem cell initiative is being altered in the wake of questions raised by some members of the governing board of the state stem cell agency, which is facing its financial demise unless the measure is approved by voters next fall.

In a phone conversation and email this evening, Robert Klein, sponsor of the initiative, said a "substantial amount of disinformation and misperceptions" exists concerning the measure. He said he was altering three key areas dealing with ethics and conflicts of interest, affordability and creation of a new scientific advisory board. 

Klein is the only person at this point who can modify his initiative. The state-imposed deadline is Monday at 5 p.m.  The governing board of the agency, known formally as the California Institute for Regenerative Medicine (CIRM), is scheduled to meet at 9 a.m. on Friday to consider the Klein initiative. This week's meeting was scheduled following a testy board discussion last week. 

Klein directed the writing of the 2004 initiative that created CIRM with $3 billion in state bond funding. Only $27 million is left, and it is earmarked for sickle cell research. Klein also directed the 2004 ballot campaign and was the agency's first chairman. 

Klein said he has received hundreds of comments about the proposed initiative, which makes sweeping changes in CIRM and the way it works. Klein's initial email about the changes in the measure is brief. The full text is  below. He said he would send more details about the changes later this evening and was open to more suggestions as they come in. (Update: As of 5:49 a.m. PST today Nov. 14, Klein had not delivered the details of his changes, which will be carried on the California Stem Cell Report when they are received.)

Here is Klein's email to the California Stem Cell Report.

"There is a substantial amount of disinformation and misperceptions being spread about the 2020 Initiative. I have addressed 3 areas of clarification below. Later today I intend to complete a more in-depth statement that covers a large number of points, which I will send to you upon completion. I hope the information below will provide a starting point for clarifying the understanding of a number of provisions.

"Amendments

"Although counsel assured me that the original wording in the 2020 initiative, as to any adoption of National Academy of Science standards for ethics or conflicts, was discretionary for the board, there will be posted on the Americans for Cures website, and distributed to CIRM, revised language that specifically states that the adoption of any part of the National Academy standards would be discretionary for the board. The requirements for open meetings to change any standards has not been modified. It remains in place.

"In addition, I have received helpful comments on the Accessibility and Affordability Working Group; and consequently, I have modified those sections to make it clear that the focus of this group is to work with designated experts on achieving early public and private insurance coverage for therapies derived from CIRM funded research. Please read the language in this section (sec. 7, 125290.75) which also provides more description of the expertise and experience qualifications of the Working Group members recruited outside of the CIRM board members on this Working Group.

"For clarity of purpose, the provision that addressed a potential advisory board, selected by the President and the Chair, has been revised and relabeled as a “task force” authorizing section, for specialized objectives. The membership of any task force has been restricted to California residents. These task forces will not have any function in evaluating grants, which must be reviewed and evaluated by the “Grants Working Group,” as clearly required by the Initiative.

"As additional comments are received, further modifications will be considered.

"Thank you."

Americans for Cures is a stem cell advocacy group that Klein founded and chairs. Here are links to the actual initiative and also to a summary prepared by the California Stem Cell Report. 

Trump Research Restrictions, the California Stem Cell Agency and Moral Obligations

The man expected to lead the drive for $5.5 billion more for California's stem cell agency today said the Trump restrictions on fetal tissue research represent a dangerous precedent that threatens the health of all Americans. 

Robert Klein, who was the first chairman of the state stem cell agency, said that "California has unique opportunity and obligation to maintain the scientific and medical options" that have led to development of the polio vaccine along with many others.

During an interview with the California Stem Cell Report, Klein said the people of California have a "moral" obligation to add more billions to the work of the 14-year-old, $3 billion stem cell agency.

Klein led the 2004 ballot initiative campaign that created the agency, formally known as the California Institute for Regenerative Medicine (CIRM).  The agency expects to run out of cash for new awards by the end of this year. It is staking its existence on a proposed ballot initiative that Klein would carry forward.

Klein's comments came as more reaction surfaced to the Trump action. San Francisco HIV advocate Jeff Sheehy, responding to a question, said in an email,

"Fetal tissue is used to make mice with human immune systems.  Testing new drugs for HIV is just one use--this animal model is used in research across a wide range of diseases to develop and test therapies, including vaccines for infectious diseases.  Stopping this research--which has been taking place for decades--is foolish, anti-science, and a threat to the health and safety of all Americans."

Kaiser Health News reported,

"The Trump administration’s announcement Wednesday about federal cutbacks in fetal tissue research is short of a total ban, but scientists in the field say it is concerning because it could affect work on treatments or preventions for key diseases, such as HIV and Parkinson’s."

Sara Reardon, reporting online for Nature, wrote,

"'It’s a decision that’s going to set back research,' says Andrew McMahon, a stem cell biologist at the University of Southern California in Los Angeles. 

"McMahon is studying ways to grow kidneys from human stem cells. He says that the only way to determine whether he and his colleagues have successfully mimicked natural development is to compare their proto-organs to kidneys in fetal tissue. Although biomedical research is often done using mice as proxies for people, mouse kidneys are too different from human kidneys to use in McMahon’s work."

McMahon was the recipient of a $5.7 million CIRM award dealing with kidney problems. A CIRM document filed in connection with his now concluded research said,

"Our analysis of the developing human kidney has provided the first comprehensive insight into developmental processes highlighting molecular and cellular events shared with the well-studied mouse model, but unique human features."

McMahon was recruited from Harvard to USC with the help of the CIRM grant. In response to an email query, he said that it was unclear whether his CIRM research would have become ineligible for federal support, given new Trump review processes. 

Bradley Fikes and Gary Robbins of the San Diego Union-Tribune wrote, 

"The sensitivity of the (fetal tissue research) matter surfaced recently when UCSD drew unwanted attention after one of its employees mistakenly solicited fetal pancreas samples from the Center for Medical Progress (CMP), an anti-abortion group whose surreptitious videos in 2015 galvanized efforts to end federal funding of Planned Parenthood."

San Francisco Chronicle: California's $3 Billion Stem Cell Program Does Not Measure Up to Voter Expectations

The San Francisco Chronicle, in a long and penetrating look at California's $3 billion stem cell agency, today said the research program has fallen "far short" of the promises made by its backers during the ballot campaign that created the effort.

Written by Erin Allday and Joaquin Palomino, the article said the agency, created by Proposition 71 in 2004, "can take credit for some notable progress," including saving the lives of children with rare immune deficiency diseases. Such efforts have been well supported by the agency, formally known as the California Institute for Regenerative Medicine (CIRM).

"But as thrilling as such advances are, they fall far short of what Prop. 71’s promoters promised." Allday and Palomino wrote.

"Not a single federally approved therapy has resulted from CIRM-funded science. The predicted financial windfall has not materialized. The bulk of CIRM grants have gone to basic research, training programs and building new laboratories, not to clinical trials testing the kinds of potential cures and therapies the billions of dollars were supposed to deliver."

Allday and Palomino worked on the CIRM overview for months, along with three other major pieces on stem cell therapies, both unregulated and those backed by the stem cell agency.  They reviewed the nearly 1,000 grants awarded by the agency and tracked the results, interviewing researchers and patient advocates and quantified the results.

The Chronicle series appeared as the agency nears its financial demise. It expects to run out of cash for new awards next year. The agency hopes that voters will approve a yet-to-be-written, $5 billion ballot measure in November 2020.

The Chronicle noted, however, that much of the research financed by the agency is not likely to resonate with voters.

Nonetheless, the article today contained ample information from the agency about its efforts, including its 49 clinical trials and some high profile results from those trials.  The piece posed the question of whether the nearly 14-year-old program has paid off. And it said,

"It’s not a question that can be answered simply. Science often can’t be measured in quantifiable outcomes. Failures aren’t just common, they’re necessary — it’s impossible to expect every dollar invested in research to lead down a traceable path toward success.... 

"It has helped make California a global leader in the field that’s come to be known as regenerative medicine. Anywhere significant stem cell research is taking place in the state, it almost surely has received support from CIRM."

The Chronicle quoted a member of the CIRM board who has been with it since its first days.

"'What was promised was not deliverable,' said longtime CIRM board member Jeff Sheehy, a former San Francisco supervisor. 'However, I would distinguish the promises from the impact and value. We have developed a regenerative medicine juggernaut.'"

The Chronicle also spoke with Bob Klein, a Palo Alto real estate investment banker who led the 2014 campaign.

"Klein...is unapologetic about the campaign he led. Indeed, as he lines up advocates and testimonials for the coming campaign, his message is familiar: Fund this research and we will save lives. Slow it down and the consequences will be grave.

"'Do you want your son to die? Are you going to wait?' Klein asked recently. 'Is that the price you are prepared to pay?'"

Today's Chronicle piece, roughly 5,000 words long, raises a host of important issues and deals with them in a nuanced and thoughtful manner. It is must reading for all those interested in California's stem cell research effort. 

(Editor's note: An earlier version of this item inadvertently omitted Palomino's name. Allday noted in an email to the California Stem Cell Report: "He played a HUGE role in putting together the CIRM story – he was basically solely responsible for collecting and analyzing the data from CIRM.")

$5 Billion Bond Measure: California Stem Cell Agency Sets a Course to Secure Its Financial Future

CIRM spending plan for next year and beyond. 
Educ refers to educational  grants. Discovery 
refers to basic research. Tran refers to translational, 
and Clin refers to clinical trial related awards. 
CIRM spent $213 million this year on Clin awards. 

OAKLAND, Ca. -- Directors of the California stem cell agency today virtually endorsed a plan to stave off its financial death, pinning their hopes on a possible $5 billion bond measure and a private fundraising effort to bring in an additional $222 million.

The California Institute for Regenerative Medicine (CIRM), as the agency is formally known, expects to run out of cash for new awards in late 2019 because of limits in the ballot measure that created it in 2004.

Robert Klein, who led the 2004 initiative campaign, appeared before the governing board meeting and touted the new bond proposal. The Palo Alto real estate investment banker told directors that California had a "moral imperative" to continue its stem cell work. He said,

"This is California’s contribution to the future of medicine....This is the bridge to the future of health care."

No vote was taken on endorsement of a ballot measure that has yet to be written or qualified for the ballot. But no objection was raised by board members to moving forward on what Thomas called the best option.

Under that scenario, Klein would lead a new, $5 billion initiative that would require hundreds of thousands of voter signature to qualify for the November 2020 ballot. Then it would require raising roughly $50 million to run a successful campaign, Klein told the California Stem Cell Report last month.

The $222 million fundraising effort is already underway and would continue until the end of 2019, with the expectation that it would provide bridge funding until voter approval of the new, multibillion dollar bond measure.

Klein told directors that 70 percent of California voters favor continuing funding of the agency. However, last month he declined a request by the California Stem Cell Report for a copy of the poll or the name of the firm that conducted it.

The 2004 campaign led voters to believe that miraculous stem cell cures were right around the corner. The agency has yet to help finance a treatment that is in widespread use. But it has currently invested $300 million in 26 clinical trials, the last stage before a proposed therapy can be certified for general use. Trials, however, can take years.

The agency is funded by money that the state borrows -- bonds. The authority to issue those bonds is expiring, and the agency is down to its last $269 million.

A fallback funding scenario would involve asking the legislature to place a bond measure on the ballot. There was no discussion of that today but it would involve negotiating with lawmakers and possibly making major changes in the way CIRM operates.

Prior to discussion of the bond measure, directors approved $68 million in cuts to the size of awards so that more awards could be made over the next two years. They also approved spending $270 million on awards next year, including $130 million on awards related to clinical trials, $30 million for research bridging the gap between the clinic and basic research and $10 million for basic research.

California Stem Cell Board to Hash Over Cuts, Future Financing Plans Next Week

Directors of the $3 billion California stem cell agency, which is facing the loss of its funding, are scheduled for one of their more consequential meetings late next week -- a session that will deal with cutting the size of awards and planning for life after 2019.

The meeting Dec. 14 will continue a discussion that began last September and that now involves a possible $5 billion bond ballot measure, a private, $222 million fundraising campaign and major  reductions in the size of awards over the next two years.

The agency projects it will run out of cash for new awards in 2019. It is financed by California state bonds but that source is drying up under the terms of the ballot measure that created the effort in 2004.

Details of what exactly will be presented next week to the 29-member governing board were not available -- as of this writing -- on the web site of the California Institute for Regenerative Medicine (CIRM), as the agency is formally known. More information is expected to be posted in the next few days, but it is likely to resemble closely the matters discussed in late November by the directors. 

Also on tap are changes in the basic research and translational award programs and ratification of reviewer decisions on grant applications in the "Quest" program, which is aimed at development of technology that is uniquely enabled by stem cells. 

The meeting will be based in Oakland with teleconference locations where the public can participate in New York City, Stanford, Santa Cruz and San Diego. The meeting will be audiocast on a listen- only basis. More details can be found on the agenda.  Regarding the New York City site, from time to time teleconference sites have been set up out-of-state when a director is traveling.

The California Stem Cell Report will be covering the meeting live from CIRM's Oakland headquarters.

Hope and the 'Helping Patients Part': The Uncertain Future of California's Stem Cell Program

One of the big selling points of the $3 billion California stem cell agency has always been hope. And it still is. 

It is a difficult matter to argue with. Hope underpins all our lives. But no more so than with persons suffering from terrible and incurable diseases. And those are precisely the targets of the 13-year-old stem cell research effort financed by the people of California. 

Currently the agency is on a course to run out of cash for new awards in 2019, ironically a fate dictated by Proposition 71, the ballot initiative that also created the agency in 2004. The measure provided $3 billion but no further stream of income. The agency is now wrestling with a variety of possibilities to extend its life for another decade or so, including mounting a $5 billion bond measure on the November 2020 ballot. 

A stem cell researcher at UC Davis, Paul Knoepfler, today addressed those critical matters -- and hope -- in a post on his blog, The Niche. He wrote, 

"The California Institute for Regenerative Medicine, more widely known as CIRM, has accomplished big things over the course of its history of about a decade and sparked a great deal of innovation, but what does the future hold for our stem cell agency?"

Knoepfler mentioned coverage of CIRM meeting last week by the California Stem Cell Report, noting that last week's item included the phrase "withering death." Knoepfler wrote,

"I don’t see things as so bleak and remain hopeful on the agency’s future. It’s unclear how California voters will be feeling about all this in 2020, but with our stem cell agency we are just now getting to the exciting part. The helping patients part. As a past grantee myself, I know how much the funding can make impact to advance science, whether basic, clinical, or somewhere in between. 

"At the recent brainstorming meeting on the agency’s future, there were apparently some upbeat reports of voter sentiment as described by (David) Jensen (producer of the California Stem Cell Report):

"'Robert Klein, a Palo Alto real estate investment banker who ran the 2004 campaign that created the agency, told the CIRM directors of a private poll that he said showed 70 percent of Californians supported stem cell research and continued funds for the stem cell agency.'

"What do you think about our stem cell agency’s future? 

"In terms of clinically relevant science, it is at the most promising point in its history with support for loads of clinical trials. Not all of them will work out, but I’m convinced that some will and other fresh trials that could be initiated with CIRM’s new funding in the future beyond 2020 would bring more hope."

The  California Stem Cell Report welcomes your thoughts on the agency's future and its strategy for getting there. You can submit them either by clicking on the word "comments" at the end of the item or by emailing them to djensen@californiastemcellreport.com.

"Cuts," Private Fund-Raising, $5 Billion Bond Measure: Answers to the Critical State of California Stem Cell Finances?

Bob Klein explored a $5 billion bond measure at today's stem cell meeting. 
California Stem Cell Report photo

OAKLAND, Ca. -- Facing the likelihood of a slow and withering death, the California stem cell agency today edged gingerly forward on a path of "cuts" and risky fund-raising in hopes that its research results will soon generate voter support for more billions of dollars.

Two governing board committees of the $3 billion agency, formally known as the California Institute for Regenerative Medicine (CIRM), this afternoon recommended that the full board "entertain" the proposals at its Dec. 14 meeting.

The agency is down to its last $269 million and expects to halt new awards in 2019 unless additional funds are raised between now and the beginning of 2020. It has been running at a $300-million-a-year pace recently and has pumped out about $25,000 an hour, 24 hours a day, seven days a week since it started making awards in 2005, according to calculations by the California Stem Cell Report.

Today's meeting focused on both short and long term finances. The committees examined a proposal to cut its planned clinical awards by $68 million over the next two years by limiting their size. The committees also indicated support for an ambitious effort to raise $222 million privately between now and early 2020.

Longer term, directors staked their hopes on voter approval of a ballot initiative in November 2020 that could total $5 billion. Development of a stem cell therapy that would resonate with voters would be a major key to the success of that effort. The 2004 campaign raised expectations that stem cell cures were right around the corner, but so far the agency has not backed one for widespread use.

Robert Klein, a Palo Alto real estate investment banker who ran the 2004 campaign that created the agency, told the CIRM directors of a private poll that he said showed 70 percent of Californians supported stem cell research and continued funds for the stem cell agency.

Following the meeting, the California Stem Cell Report asked him for a copy of the poll. He declined to provide it or identify the firm that conducted the survey.

Klein told the CIRM board members that the agency has made "remarkable progress" and has created a "moral imperative" to continue the search for stem cell cures. He said,

"The bridge to the future is CIRM and stem cell therapies."

The now less-than-robust finances of CIRM are a product of the ballot initiative, Proposition 71, that created it. CIRM is not funded through the customary process used by most state agencies. The initiative  stipulated that CIRM would be supported by $3 billion in state bonds whose funds would flow directly to the agency and bypass the legislature and the governor. When that cash runs out, the agency is left with no other source of state funding.

Raising $222 million privately over the next two years is no small task, but deep pockets exist that may well be tapped. The Eli and Edythe Broad Foundation, for example, has donated nearly $80 million to stem cell research centers at UCLA, UC San Francisco and the University of Southern California. All three are linked to CIRM. In San Diego, the Sanford Stem Cell Consortium was given $100 million in 2013 by Denny Sanford, another billionaire. The consortium came into being after it was backed by $43 million from CIRM.

Nonetheless, competition for philanthropic cash is heated. Thomas and Klein, however, both indicated that they would collaborate on raising the $222 million, which would allow the agency to add eight new clinical awards in 2020, among other things.

The risk lies in the timetable for bringing in the cash. The agency has a relatively tight schedule for making awards --- a schedule that a major philanthropist may or may not be ready or willing to comply with.

Without more cash, the stem cell agency projected that it would wither away by 2023 as it managed a declining number of old research grants.

For more, recent articles on CIRM's current critical funding situation, see here, here, here and here.

California Stem Cell Agency Faces Rising Cash Burn Rate; Readying for New, Multibillion Dollar Bond Attempt

Cash is flowing out the door fast at California’s $3 billion stem cell agency, which now expects money to run out for new research awards by the end of 2019 instead of the middle of 2020.

The California Institute for Regenerative Medicine (CIRM), as the agency is formally known, expects to be down to its last $269 million in uncommitted funds by end of this year. And it is working on a new plan to raise $200 million in private funds to sustain its operations through 2020.

The financial projections -- crafted as the agency faces what its leaders call a "critical stage" -- are online this week on the CIRM web site and include proposed lower caps on the size of awards in 2018 and 2019. The agency said the increase this year in the pace of funding was generated by more, higher quality research applications.

Maria Millan, CIRM photo

In documents prepared for a key CIRM meeting next Monday, Maria Millan, CEO of the agency, said her budget scenario would maintain CIRM’s “value proposition as intact as possible” while work moves forward on a proposed, multibillion dollar bond measure in November 2020. She also said enough funds would be available to “wind down” the agency if the bond measure fails.

(See here for Millan's plan and here for longer term bond funding.)

The agency was created by a ballot initiative in 2004, Proposition 71, which financed it with a $3 billion bond measure. No other significant funding was provided. The ballot campaign raised rosy expectations among voters that stem cell therapies were right around the corner.

So far the agency has not backed a therapy that has been approved for widespread use. But it is helping to support 38 clinical trials, the last stage before a therapy is approved by the federal government for widespread use. Many more trials, which can take years, are expected to be funded prior to 2020,

CIRM Chairman Jonathan Thomas, in a presentation prepared for next week’s meeting, pointed to “early successes” such as those involving work by Donald Kohn at UCLA. Thomas also cited “promising early returns” with Asterias Therapeutics’ work on spinal cord injuries.

Thomas’ proposal, in addition to private fundraising, calls for a “citizen-led” bond measure in the fall of 2020 to sustain CIRM on a more long-term basis. During next week's meeting, Robert Klein, the Palo Alto real estate investment banker who led the 2004 ballot initiative campaign, is expected to address the prospects for another initiative measure, possibly as large as $5 billion.

As back-up options, Thomas identified the possibility of asking the legislature and governor to place a bond measure on the 2020 ballot along with seeking donor funds for co-funding of specific projects.

In Millan's presentation, she said it is “essential to preserve CIRM’s value proposition to increase the probability of and the speed by which stem cell treatments can reach patients.”

The session on Monday involves the Transition and Science subcommittees of the CIRM board. The committees are expected to recommend budget and fundraising plans to be ratified by the full board at its meeting Dec. 14.

In September, the Transition group took a crack at a wider range of possibilities. The latest proposals are a refinement of what was discussed then.

Next week's meeting will be based at CIRM’s headquarters in Oakland with telephonic sites where the public can participate in La Jolla, Duarte, South San Francisco, Los Angeles and San Francisco. Public comments can be emailed to mbonneville@cirm.ca.gov. The session will also be audiocast on a listen-only basis. Instructions can be found on the agenda along with addresses for the telephonic locations. 

California's $3 Billion Stem Cell Agency Loses CEO Randy Mills

C. Randal Mills
CIRM photo

In a surprise move, the president of California's $3 billion stem cell research effort this morning announced his resignation as the program enters what some are calling its "final test."

C. Randal Mills said that he has taken a position as president of the National Marrow Donor Program in Minneapolis, Minn. He said he will leave the California Institute for Regenerative Medicine (CIRM), as the stem cell agency is formally known, at the end of June.

Maria Millan, CIRM photo

Maria Millan, vice president of therapeutics, will become interim president of the 12-year-old agency in July. The governing board of the agency plans a meeting of its search committee in July to consider its options regarding the appointment of a permanent president for CIRM, which expects to run out of cash for new awards in three years.

Just last week, the prestigious journal Nature described the Oakland-based agency as entering its "final test" and "last stage."

Mills, 45, joined the agency almost exactly three years ago and promptly launched a more focused effort than previously existed to fulfill the promises and expectations created by the 2004 ballot initiative campaign that created the agency.

Jonathan Thomas, CIRM chairman and who recruited Mills, said in a press release,

“CIRM has experienced a remarkable transformation since Randy’s arrival. He has taken the agency to a new level by developing and implementing a bold strategic plan, the results of which include an 82 percent reduction in approval time, a 3-fold increase in the number of clinical trials, and a 65 percent reduction in the time it takes to enroll those trials.

"CIRM’s mission is to accelerate stem cell treatments to patients with unmet medical needs, and under Randy’s leadership, CIRM has done just that. The opportunity for Randy to lead a tremendously important organization such as NMDP is consistent with the values he demonstrated at CIRM, which put the well-being of patients above all else."

In an interview with the California Stem Cell Report, Mills said the offer to lead the donoro program "came out of the blue." He said the opportunity to join the world's largest bone marrow effort was unique. The organization, he said "does not do anything that doesn't save lives."

Mills said in the interview that Millan was an obvious choice to succeed him on a permanent basis. In the agency's press release, Mills said,

"What this team has been able to accomplish in that time is remarkable by any objective measure and I thank them for their 'All In' attitude and effort. As a trailblazing institute, CIRM is setting new highs in productivity and efficiency and will continue to deliver on its mission under the leadership of Dr. Millan."

Millan, a physician, has been with the agency since 2012, joining it from StemCells, Inc., where she was acting medical officer and vice president. Prior to that, she was an associate professor of transplant surgery for eight years at Stanford University.

Thomas said,

“One of the most valuable contributions Randy has made at CIRM is the strength of the team he has assembled. Maria is exceptionally well qualified and completely engaged in the operations of CIRM, having worked with Randy as member of the leadership team that created and is executing the strategic plan. With her leadership, we are well positioned for continued success,

Millan was paid $281,000 last year, according to The Sacramento Bee's state worker database. Mills was paid $573,000.

Mills' departure comes as supporters of the agency are concerned about whether its work will effectively end in 2020. However, its first chairman, Bob Klein, is talking about asking California voters for another $5 billion. Klein also led the $34 million ballot campaign.

Klein's organization, Americans for Cures, is planning to conduct a poll this fall to determine the level of public support for CIRM. He has said that if support is in the 70 percent range he would mount a bond issue in 2018. Otherwise, he might try in 2020, a presidential election year, with a larger voter turnout.

The organization that Mills is joining is "the world's largest the world's largest registry of unrelated adult donors and umbilical cord blood (UCB) units," according to Nature. It has been heavily funded by the federal government with an annual budget of $383 million, according to 2014 figures, and has about 1,000 employees. CIRM currently has 46 employees and has ranged up into the middle 50s.

Accompanying Mills in the move to Minneapolis will be his wife, Anna, and two children, Elise, 13, and Chase, 10.

(The agency posted an item on its blog, The Stem Cellar, dealing with Mills' resignation shortly after this item was posted.)

The Journal Nature Says: 'Last Stage' for California's Stem Cell Research Program

The prestigious journal Nature this week is calling it the "final test" for California's $3 billion plunge into development of stem cell therapies for afflictions ranging from cancer to arthritis.

The California Institute for Regenerative Medicine (CIRM), as the stem cell agency is formally known, expects to run out of cash for new awards in June 2020. The 12-year-old agency was created by a ballot initiative campaign that led voters to believe that nearly miraculous stem cell treatments were just around the corner. So far the agency has not backed a stem cell therapy that is widely available.

For Nature, the situation merited this headline yesterday on its web site,

"California’s $3-billion bet on stem cells faces final test
"Major investment in regenerative medicine enters its last stage — and the money might run out before treatments are ready."

Amy Maxmen wrote the article. She said,

"Now, the pot of money — one of the biggest state investments in science — is running dry before treatments have emerged, raising questions about whether Californians will pour billions more into stem-cell research."

Maxmen continued,

"If they don’t, that could leave hundreds of scientists without support, and strand potentially promising therapies before they reach the market. 'It’s an issue of great concern,' says Jonathan Thomas, chair of the board for the California Institute for Regenerative Medicine (CIRM) in Oakland." 

Maxmen also noted the critical assessment of CIRM in 2012 by the Institute of Medicine and some subsequent changes made by the agency's board. She said,

"Jim Lott, a member of the state board that oversees CIRM’s finances, says that he is not satisfied with the changes. He also argues that CIRM may not have been strategic enough in directing research. 'Some people say if they had a better focus, they might have achieved cures.'"

The Nature piece covered familiar ground for readers of the California Stem Cell Report. But she had further news from Bob Klein, a Palo Alto, Ca., real estate investment banker. Maxmen wrote,

"Bob Klein, the property developer who put Proposition 71 on the ballot and established CIRM, isn’t waiting for the money to run out. He leads an advocacy group, Americans for Cures, which will soon poll voters  to see whether they would approve another $5 billion in funding. If it looks like at least 70 percent of Californians support that plan, he’ll start a campaign to put another initiative on the ballot in 2018.

"Klein hopes that Californians will rise in support of science at a time when the Trump administration has proposed drastic cuts to the NIH budget. If public enthusiasm is not so strong, Klein says, he’ll aim for the 2020 elections, when voter turnout should be higher because it will coincide with the next presidential race."

Maxmen concluded with this comment from Eric Verdin, president of the Buck Institute on Aging in Novato, Ca., which has received nearly $35 million from CIRM.

“It would be a catastrophe for California if people say CIRM did not do what it was expected to do. They’ve built the foundation for the field and attracted people from around the world — you can’t just now pull the plug.”

California Stem Cell Agency Plumps Its Program as It Eyes Need for More Funding

California's 12-year-old stem cell agency today launched a "statewide outreach tour" that is aimed "partly" at building support for pumping $5 billion more into the program which is nearing the end of its financial life.

The agency has billed the one-hour, public program in San Diego as a "patient advocate event." Reporter Bradley Fikes of the San Diego Union-Tribune discussed the event in an article this morning that was headlined:

"Should Californians give more money for stem cell research?"

In addition to being sponsored by the California Institute for Regenerative Medicine (CIRM),  as the agency is formally known, the event is backed by UC San Diego, which has received $177 million from the agency.

Fikes said the event is the first in a series that is "is partly meant as a way to persuade voters to further support the institute with more funding."

He continued,

"Jonathan Thomas, CIRM’s chairman, said the San Diego event and others like it in other parts of the state are meant to update patients and all Californians about how their money has been spent, and to hear from the public."

Robert Klein, the multimillionaire real estate investment banker who led the 2004 ballot campaign that created the $3 billion agency, said last month that he expects that a public opinion poll this fall will show strong support for adding $5 billion to the effort. It is scheduled to run out of cash for new awards in June 2020 and perhaps sooner.

The 2004 campaign cost $34 million. Klein has not publicly discussed his plans to raise money for the ballot effort.

The agency has yet to finance a commercially available stem cell therapy.