It was the sort of story that
Californians did not see during the ballot campaign 10 years ago that
created the state's $3 billion stem cell agency.
The story line then was of hope and the
imminent prospect of cures for a host of diseases that afflicted
half of California's population.
Today in the San Francisco Chronicle, Stephanie Lee wrote of biotech companies that go for more than two decades without ever developing a commercial product. Lee's poster child
was Geron Corp., which abandoned stem cell research in 2011 along
with a $25 million loan from the stem cell agency.
Lee wrote,
“A company that goes 24 years without ever selling a product may sound unusual. But in biotechnology, it's not that uncommon.
“Take Geron Corp. in Menlo Park, which has struggled to develop a therapy - any therapy - since its founding in 1990.”
Lee noted that Geron has an accumulated
deficit of $893 million in debt since its founding and is now facing
a number of lawsuits from unhappy investors.
“Faced with 10- to 15-year timelines and uncertain regulatory outcomes, companies and investors might plow hundreds of millions of dollars into therapies that will never see the light of day.”
Besides Geron, Lee also mentioned Isis
Pharmaceuticals and Dendreon Corp. as examples of biotech firms with a lengthy
development history.
She wrote,
“Overall, the odds of getting a drug to market aren't much better than gambling in Las Vegas. Only 1 in 5,000 to 10,000 compounds discovered in the lab gains FDA approval.”
Those odds, we should note, do not
reflect development of stem cell therapies, but rather simpler
substances. The expectation is that odds will go higher for stem cell
therapies.
All of which is not the best news for
the stem cell agency, although the information is not all that new.
It was out there during the 2004 stem cell campaign, but the stem
cell community did not want to talk about it, and the mainstream
media largely did not report it.
The figures remained unchanged today,
although a more positive aura surrounds biotech than has existed for
several years. Nonetheless, the story of long odds and fruitless
research is one that bedevils the stem cell agency. It will run out
of funds for new awards in 2017 and is looking for ways to avoid its
financial demise. Creating a new narrative, one with a brighter
future, is the agency's task as it tries to develop new funding.